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Tuesday, November 25th, 2014

Obama or Romney—Polls Swayed By Black and Hispanic Turnout

The national polls on the presidential election continue to be all over the place, with results ranging from President Obama with a 13-point lead in a Bloomberg poll to a Rasmussen poll that even has Republican Mitt Romney with a 5-point advantage. But once again the polls are likely to be extremely inaccurate because they are still trying to predict likely turnout based on previous voting patterns. That means they continue to undercount the impact blacks and Latinos—who both have millions of unregistered voters among their ranks—could have on the election if they come out in big numbers.

A poll analysis on the Huffington Post says the recent polls could indicate an advantage for Romney because more Republicans (73 percent) right now are saying they have given a lot of thought to the election than Democrats (66 percent), which pollsters take to mean that Republicans are more likely to vote in November. But historically it’s much too risky to draw many conclusions about voter interest when we’re still a couple of months away from the party conventions in August, when voter interest typically starts to rise.

In the polling, there’s another piece of data that bodes much better for the Democrats than Republicans: How people answered the question of whether they are satisfied with their choices—by a margin of 68 to 60 percent, Democrats are more satisfied with their choices. Also, many more voters say they support Obama strongly (30 percent) than support Romney strongly (17 percent).

But in the end, any polling results still come down to a key question: How many blacks and Hispanics will show up at the polls on November 6.

About Nick Chiles

Nick Chiles, Editor-in-Chief of AtlantaBlackStar, is a Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist and New York Times bestselling author. He has written or co-written 13 books and won over a dozen major journalism awards during a journalism career that brought him to the Dallas Morning News, the Star-Ledger of New Jersey and New York Newsday, in addition to serving as Editor-in-Chief of Odyssey Couleur travel magazine.

Comments

  1. BEFORE IT’S TOO LATE.

    Good Lord! What did we do when we rented President Obama for four years? I even violated my own law when instead of electing the guy for the issues involved, I voted for the personality over Arizona Senator John McCain. Now we have a pharaoh in power, which has torn up the most precious of document called the Constitution, in his pursuit of absolute power. In his term he has hired a bunch of Marxist and ultra left Socialists that have done almost irreparable damage to our economy. His henchman like the despicable U.S. Attorney General has been on a ‘Witch Hunt’ escalating his intimidation on initially Arizona, with his warlord rumbling against Alabama and Georgia. Because these states dared to introduce legislation, to remove illegal aliens that are not only stealing American welfare by court mandate, but by causing mayhem by drunken drivers on our highways, but attacking children and women. This miserable human being called Eric Holder who reigns over us with a big stick, with his legions of overpaid public servants called attorneys.

    This week President Obama issued an executive order to shield Holder, from the need to release thousands of documents in the ‘Fast and furious’ gun running scheme. Every prudent American has their suspicions of who is implicated in the rat hole called the Department of Justice. It seems like the murdered U.S. Border Patrolman Brian Terry is to wait in vain for the absolute truth. The question has always been where does the cover up lead? Perhaps to the steps of the White house itself? Eric Holder through all his testimony has never offered sincere apologizes to the elderly parents of Brian Terry who suffered this horrible loss. Watching the U.S. agents on the border, their job is aimlessly, hopelessly trying to stop the illegal alien invaders, which is shown to be an endless task. Why even bother when the U.S. government has placed regulatory obstacles in their way. Unlike the alphabet TV channels that always display the huge fences that seen to stretch for miles. In a true accounting, the fence is nothing of the sort, when there great expanses of nothing but old, tired barb wire, that a Texas long horn cattle could navigate. Both political parties must take the blame for this conspiracy that has gone on for decades.

    Then we have Obama forcing the American people to forfeit their money to pay for a Socialist style health care. Money extorted from taxpayers, for probably a large proportion of people who live like leeches of the rest of us. Not just illegal aliens, but a mixture of the population who sleep late, eat their fast food, watch TV and play video games on a computer. With this potentate in power unemployment is through the roof. Food stamps are at a full time high and the lines of illegal aliens, who have smuggled their babies over here before they were born, have been instructed by verbal guides that once here their child can claim citizenship. This in itself has become a hundred billion dollar industry of child health care, education and a long list of financial payments, that even citizens are declined to collect. Illegal Immigration has become blight and Americans under President Obama will pay a dear price.

    It will be them against US in the 2012 election and both Obama and Romney are already trying to pacify the majority of ethnic voters across the U.S. The only possible the American voter can gain the momentum to remove Obama and his crowd from office; not saying that even Mitt Romney is any better and should drive the old incumbents out and replace them with TEA PARTY leaders. Only then will we return sanity to this Congress. Only by replacing the Senators and Congressman in both traditional parties will anything ever change and who seem completely oblivious to the survival of the middle class? Under Obama we will sink even deeper into a high spending orgy and with Romney more latitude for Wall Street. Just the TEA PARTY will reroute America on a path of Success, if they can significantly displace the usual, spineless politicians with new ideas, which will elevate this country to a decent future for all. It would be highly complementary to also dump the Governors, Mayors, Police Chiefs and every elected official with TEA PARTY associates and rid ourselves of those bodies who pamper special interest groups, Obama fodder and the whole slew of individuals are working against the greater good of ALL Americans.

    REMEMBER THAT IF EITHER OBAMA OR ROMNEY IS PRESIDENT, THAT WITH THE GROWING NUMBER OF TEA PARTY POLITICIANS IN HOUSE AND SENATE AND AT STATE LEVEL ASSEMBLIES AS WELL, NEITHER THE REPUBLICANS OR DEMOCRATS WILL HAVE A MAJORITY TO PASS TAX AND SPEND LAWS, SPECIAL POLICIES FOR THEIR FRIENDS AS WITH “Solyndra” SOLAR PANELS FIASCO.

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